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Moontower Content by Kris Abdelmessih
Moontower Content by Kris Abdelmessih
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Numeracy & Decision-Making

Numeracy & Decision-Making

  • Lessons From The Layup – Corner 3 Spread
  • Understanding Edge
  • How much to wager when you have edge? (Hint: median not mean outcomes!)
  • Percents Are Tricky
  • Tails Explained
  • Fun Analogy Between Combinations and a Correlation Matrix
  • Chart Crimes
  • Longitudinal Studies > Snapshot Studies
  • Berkson’s Paradox
  • Jensen’s Inequality As An Intuition Tool
  • The Monty Hall Problem Is More Than A Game
  • Innumeracy
  • Teach A Math Idea To Internalize It
  • Notes on Statistics Done Wrong
  • Notes on How Not to Be Wrong: The Power of Mathematical Thinking
  • What I learned about earthquakes from Nate Silver’s “Signal and the Noise”
  • In power law world”average” doesn’t exist
  • Overfitting the Wrong Lesson
  • I Felt Bad For Picking My 3rd Grader Off
  • There’s Gold In Them Thar Hills Part 1
  • There’s Gold In Them Thar Hills Part 2
  • The Benefits Of Betting Culture
  • Another Kind Of Mean
  • Trading Is A Team Sport
  • Digital Roots And Wonder
  • Calibrated Confidence
  • Practice Second Gear Thinking
  • If You Wait For All The Info You'll Be Too Late